Authors
Jennifer E Kay, Clara Deser, A Phillips, A Mai, Cecile Hannay, Gary Strand, Julie Michelle Arblaster, SC Bates, Gokhan Danabasoglu, James Edwards, Marika Holland, Paul Kushner, J-F Lamarque, David Lawrence, Keith Lindsay, Adrianne Middleton, Ernesto Munoz, Richard Neale, Keith Oleson, Lorenzo Polvani, Mariana Vertenstein
Publication date
2015/8
Journal
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume
96
Issue
8
Pages
1333-1349
Description
While internal climate variability is known to affect climate projections, its influence is often underappreciated and confused with model error. Why? In general, modeling centers contribute a small number of realizations to international climate model assessments [e.g., phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)]. As a result, model error and internal climate variability are difficult, and at times impossible, to disentangle. In response, the Community Earth System Model (CESM) community designed the CESM Large Ensemble (CESM-LE) with the explicit goal of enabling assessment of climate change in the presence of internal climate variability. All CESM-LE simulations use a single CMIP5 model (CESM with the Community Atmosphere Model, version 5). The core simulations replay the twenty to twenty-first century (1920–2100) 30 times under historical and representative concentration …
Total citations
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