Authors
Lijing Cheng, Karina von Schuckmann, John P Abraham, Kevin E Trenberth, Michael E Mann, Laure Zanna, Matthew H England, Jan D Zika, John T Fasullo, Yongqiang Yu, Yuying Pan, Jiang Zhu, Emily R Newsom, Ben Bronselaer, Xiaopei Lin
Publication date
2022/11
Source
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
Volume
3
Issue
11
Pages
776-794
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group UK
Description
Changes in ocean heat content (OHC) provide a measure of ocean warming, with impacts on the Earth system. This Review synthesizes estimates of past and future OHC changes using observations and models. The top 2,000 m of the global ocean has significantly warmed since the 1950s, gaining 351 ± 59.8 ZJ (1 ZJ = 1021 J) from 1958 to 2019. The rate of warming increased from <5 to ~10 ZJ yr−1 from the 1960s to the 2010s. Observed area-averaged warming is largest in the Atlantic Ocean and southern oceans at 1.42 ± 0.09 and 1.40 ± 0.09 × 109 J m2, respectively, for the upper 2,000 m over 1958–2019. These observed patterns of heat gains are dominated by heat redistribution. Observationally constrained projections suggest that historic ocean warming is irreversible this century, with net warming dependent on the emission scenario. By 2100, projected warming in the top 2,000 m …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
L Cheng, K von Schuckmann, JP Abraham… - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2022