Authors
C Simone Sutherland, Christopher M Stone, Peter Steinmann, Marcel Tanner, Fabrizio Tediosi
Publication date
2017/1/1
Journal
The Lancet Global Health
Volume
5
Issue
1
Pages
e69-e79
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
Background Trypanosoma brucei (T b) gambiense is targeted to reach elimination as a public health problem by 2020 and full elimination by 2030. To achieve these goals, stakeholders need to consider strategies to accelerate elimination. Hence, we aimed to model several options related to current and emerging methods for case detection, treatment, and vector control across settings to assess cost-effectiveness and the probability of elimination. Methods Five intervention strategies were modelled over 30 years for low, moderate, and high transmission settings. Model parameters related to costs, efficacy, and transmission were based on available evidence and parameter estimation. Outcomes included disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), costs, and long-term prevalence. Sensitivity analyses were done to calculate the uncertainty of the results. Findings To reach elimination targets for 2020 across all settings …
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