Authors
Geoffrey J Cary, Robert E Keane, Robert H Gardner, Sandra Lavorel, Mike D Flannigan, Ian D Davies, Chao Li, James M Lenihan, T Scott Rupp, Florent Mouillot
Publication date
2006/1
Journal
Landscape ecology
Volume
21
Pages
121-137
Publisher
Kluwer Academic Publishers
Description
The purpose of this study was to compare the sensitivity of modelled area burned to environmental factors across a range of independently-developed landscape-fire-succession models. The sensitivity of area burned to variation in four factors, namely terrain (flat, undulating and mountainous), fuel pattern (finely and coarsely clumped), climate (observed, warmer & wetter, and warmer & drier) and weather (year-to-year variability) was determined for four existing landscape-fire-succession models (EMBYR, FIRESCAPE, LANDSUM and SEM-LAND) and a new model implemented in the LAMOS modelling shell (LAMOS(DS)). Sensitivity was measured as the variance in area burned explained by each of the four factors, and all of the interactions amongst them, in a standard generalised linear modelling analysis. Modelled area burned was most sensitive to climate and variation in weather, with four models …
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