Authors
Nicola Di Cicco, Jacopo Talpini, Mëmëdhe Ibrahimi, Marco Savi, Massimo Tornatore
Publication date
2023/5/28
Conference
ICC 2023-IEEE International Conference on Communications
Pages
441-446
Publisher
IEEE
Description
We consider the problem of forecasting the Quality-of-Transmission (QoT) of deployed lightpaths in a Wavelength Division Multiplexing (WDM) optical network. QoT forecasting plays a determinant role in network management and planning, as it allows network operators to proactively plan maintenance or detect anomalies in a lightpath. To this end, we leverage Bayesian Recurrent Neural Networks for learning uncertainty-aware probabilistic QoT forecasts, i.e., for modelling a probability distribution of the QoT over a time horizon. We evaluate our proposed approach on the open-source Microsoft Wide Area Network (WAN) optical backbone dataset. Our illustrative numerical results show that our approach not only outperforms state-of-the-art models from literature, but also predicts intervals providing near-optimal empirical coverage. As such, we demonstrate that uncertainty-aware probabilistic modelling enables …
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N Di Cicco, J Talpini, M Ibrahimi, M Savi, M Tornatore - ICC 2023-IEEE International Conference on …, 2023