Authors
SR Yang, BW Brorsen
Publication date
1992
Journal
American Journal of Agricultural Economics
Volume
74
Pages
706-715
Description
Daily cash price changes are not normally distributed. Their empirical distributions have fat tails and most are skewed. In addition, they are not independent. Among the diffusion‐jump, extended generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH), and deterministic chaos processes, a GARCH process with residuals following a student distribution is the most likely. Our GARCH model reduces leptokurtosis, removes nonlinear dependence, and provides a considerable improvement over the i.i.d. normal model. The GARCH process is not well calibrated because it cannot explain all the observed nonnormality, but it does yield asymptotically valid hypothesis tests.
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Scholar articles
SR Yang, BW Brorsen - American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 1992
S Yang - Nonlinear dynamics of daily cash prices+ American …