Authors
David O Lucca, Emanuel Moench
Publication date
2015/2
Journal
The Journal of finance
Volume
70
Issue
1
Pages
329-371
Description
We document large average excess returns on U.S. equities in anticipation of monetary policy decisions made at scheduled meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in the past few decades. These pre‐FOMC returns have increased over time and account for sizable fractions of total annual realized stock returns. While other major international equity indices experienced similar pre‐FOMC returns, we find no such effect in U.S. Treasury securities and money market futures. Other major U.S. macroeconomic news announcements also do not give rise to preannouncement excess equity returns. We discuss challenges in explaining these returns with standard asset pricing theory.
Total citations
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Scholar articles
DO Lucca, E Moench - The Journal of finance, 2015