Authors
Antonis D Koussis, Konstantinos Lagouvardos, Katerina Mazi, Vassiliki Kotroni, Dieter Sitzmann, Jürgen Lang, Hermann Zaiss, Andrea Buzzi, Piero Malguzzi
Publication date
2003/1
Journal
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume
8
Issue
1
Pages
1-11
Publisher
American Society of Civil Engineers
Description
We describe a system for forecasting flood risk in the 370 km2, largely urban Kifissos Basin, Athens, Greece, located in moderate to steep terrain (∼3 h hydrologic response time). A 42 h flood forecast lead time is achieved through the use of an integrated hydro-meteorological system. Rainfall is forecast, on a 6 km grid, with a chain of nested numerical weather prediction models, consisting of a limited area model initialized with results of a global circulation model. Flood risk is assessed by driving a hydrologic model with the forecasted rainfall. The system’s forecast skill is evaluated for two recent, medium-size storm events. Results are encouraging for this initial operational stage, however, they also indicate that integrated hydro-meterological models are not yet mature tools. The weaker part of flood risk assessment is the rainfall forecast, which underestimated cumulative depths and maximum intensities and …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
AD Koussis, K Lagouvardos, K Mazi, V Kotroni… - Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 2003