Authors
Saeed Shakibfar, Oswin Krause, Casper Lund-Andersen, Alfonso Aranda, Jonas Moll, Tariq Osman Andersen, Jesper Hastrup Svendsen, Helen Høgh Petersen, Christian Igel
Publication date
2019/2/1
Journal
Ep Europace
Volume
21
Issue
2
Pages
268-274
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Description
Aims
Electrical storm (ES) is a serious arrhythmic syndrome that is characterized by recurrent episodes of ventricular arrhythmias. Electrical storm is associated with increased mortality and morbidity despite the use of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs). Predicting ES could be essential; however, models for predicting this event have never been developed. The goal of this study was to construct and validate machine learning models to predict ES based on daily ICD remote monitoring summaries.
Methods and results
Daily ICD summaries from 19 935 patients were used to construct and evaluate two models [logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF)] for predicting the short-term risk of ES. The models were evaluated on the parts of the data not used for model development. Random forest performed significantly better than LR (P <0.01), achieving a test …
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