Authors
Grant T Harris, Marnie E Rice, Vernon L Quinsey, Martin L Lalumière, Douglas Boer, Carol Lang
Publication date
2003/9
Journal
Psychological assessment
Volume
15
Issue
3
Pages
413
Publisher
American Psychological Association
Description
Four actuarial instruments for the prediction of violent and sexual reoffending (the Violence Risk Appraisal Guide [VRAG], Sex Offender Risk Appraisal Guide [SORAG], Rapid Risk Assessment for Sex Offender Recidivism [RRASOR], and Static-99) were evaluated in 4 samples of sex offenders (N= 396). Although all 4 instruments predicted violent (including sexual) recidivism and recidivism known to be sexually motivated, areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were consistently higher for the VRAG and the SORAG. The instruments performed better when there were fewer missing items and follow-up time was fixed, with an ROC area up to. 84 for the VRAG, for example, under such favorable conditions. Predictive accuracy was higher for child molesters than for rapists, especially for the Static-99 and the RRASOR. Consistent with past research, survival analyses revealed that those offenders high …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
GT Harris, ME Rice, VL Quinsey, ML Lalumière, D Boer… - Psychological assessment, 2003