Authors
James A Screen, Clara Deser, Ian Simmonds
Publication date
2012/5/28
Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Volume
39
Issue
10
Description
The Arctic is warming two to four times faster than the global average. Debate continues on the relative roles of local factors, such as sea ice reductions, versus remote factors in driving, or amplifying, Arctic warming. This study examines the vertical profile and seasonality of observed tropospheric warming, and addresses its causes using atmospheric general circulation model simulations. The simulations enable the isolation and quantification of the role of three controlling factors of Arctic warming: 1) observed Arctic sea ice concentration (SIC) and sea surface temperature (SST) changes; 2) observed remote SST changes; and 3) direct radiative forcing (DRF) due to observed changes in greenhouse gases, ozone, aerosols, and solar output. Local SIC and SST changes explain a large portion of the observed Arctic near‐surface warming, whereas remote SST changes explain the majority of observed warming aloft …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
JA Screen, C Deser, I Simmonds - Geophysical Research Letters, 2012