Authors
Richard Frankel, Charles MC Lee
Publication date
1998/6/30
Journal
Journal of Accounting and economics
Volume
25
Issue
3
Pages
283-319
Publisher
North-Holland
Description
This study examines the usefulness of an analyst-based valuation model in predicting cross-sectional stock returns. We estimate firms' fundamental values (V) using I/B/E/S consensus forecasts and a residual income model. We find that V is highly correlated with contemporaneous stock price, and that the V/P ratio is a good predictor of long-term cross-sectional returns. This effect is not explained by a firm's market beta, B/P ratio, or total market capitalization. In addition, we find errors in consensus analyst earnings forecasts are predictable, and that the predictive power of V/P can be improved by incorporating these errors.
Total citations
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Scholar articles
RM Frankel, C Lee - Market Expectation, and the Book-to-Market Effect, 1998
R Frankel, CMC Lee - Market Expectations, and Cross, 1998