Authors
A Ardeshir, M Amiri, Y Ghasemi, M Errington
Publication date
2014/12/10
Journal
International Journal of Civil Engineering
Volume
12
Issue
4
Pages
396-412
Publisher
International Journal of Civil Engineering
Description
In the water industry, tunnels can be used to transfer water from a basin to other areas over varying distances. Construction of such tunnels is inherently risky and can result in unpredicted events and incidents. It is therefore necessary that thorough risk assessments be carried out as a priority of the owner, contractor, and consultant organization. This is so that, through a systematic and logical plan, they can evaluate risk posed by these unforeseen events and incidents. In this paper, the risks and their main causes, which are often encountered in such projects, are identified and assessed. A fault tree method is applied in order to identify the main causes of events and incidents. By its nature, a risk assessment cannot be defined by absolute values, and so fuzzy data can be used in order to calculate the possibility of incidence and the severity of the risk. This is done on the four main criteria of time, cost, quality, and safety. Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is applied in order to estimate the significance of each criterion and to calculate the significance of the total influence of risk. In this paper, the case study of Dasht-e Zahab water conveyance tunnel has been selected for discussion as it was subjected to severe and multiple hazards. Results obtained using the method was validated by conducting different interviews with field experts. It was concluded that by applying the proposed methodology on the case study, the risks of the project could be evaluated in a more methodical and accurate way than what could be done without using the method. This approach is therefore recommended for similar types of projects where there are complicated risks …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
A Ardeshir, M Amiri, Y Ghasemi, M Errington - International Journal of Civil Engineering, 2014