Authors
Tushar Sinha, A Sankarasubramanian, Amirhossein Mazrooei
Publication date
2014/12/1
Journal
Journal of Hydrometeorology
Volume
15
Issue
6
Pages
2470-2483
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Description
Despite considerable progress in developing real-time climate forecasts, most studies have evaluated the potential in seasonal streamflow forecasting based on ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) methods, utilizing only climatological forcings while ignoring general circulation model (GCM)-based climate forecasts. The primary limitation in using GCM forecasts is their coarse resolution, which requires spatiotemporal downscaling to implement land surface models. Consequently, multiple sources of errors are introduced in developing real-time streamflow forecasts utilizing GCM forecasts. A set of error decomposition metrics is provided to address the following questions: 1) How are errors in monthly streamflow forecasts attributed to various sources such as temporal disaggregation, spatial downscaling, imprecise initial hydrologic conditions (IHCs), climatological forcings, and imprecise forecasts? and 2) How do …
Total citations
20152016201720182019202020212022202320242322761213