Authors
Piotr Kokoszka, Hong Miao, Alexander Petersen, Han Lin Shang
Publication date
2019/10/1
Journal
International Journal of Forecasting
Volume
35
Issue
4
Pages
1304-1317
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
This paper is concerned with the forecasting of probability density functions. Density functions are nonnegative and have a constrained integral, and thus do not constitute a vector space. The implementation of established functional time series forecasting methods for such nonlinear data is therefore problematic. Two new methods are developed and compared to two existing methods. The comparison is based on the densities derived from cross-sectional and intraday returns. For such data, one of our new approaches is shown to dominate the existing methods, while the other is comparable to one of the existing approaches.
Total citations
20192020202120222023202425613126
Scholar articles
P Kokoszka, H Miao, A Petersen, HL Shang - International Journal of Forecasting, 2019