Authors
Xiaojun Shi, Qihe Tang, Zhongyi Yuan
Publication date
2017/3/1
Journal
Insurance: Mathematics and Economics
Volume
73
Pages
156-167
Publisher
North-Holland
Description
This paper employs a multivariate extreme value theory (EVT) approach to study the limit distribution of the loss of a general credit portfolio with low default probabilities. A latent variable model is employed to quantify the credit portfolio loss, where both heavy tails and tail dependence of the latent variables are realized via a multivariate regular variation (MRV) structure. An approximation formula to implement our main result numerically is obtained. Intensive simulation experiments are conducted, showing that this approximation formula is accurate for relatively small default probabilities, and that our approach is superior to a copula-based approach in reducing model risk.
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