Authors
Pablo Martinez De Salazar, René Niehus, Aimee Taylor, Caroline O’Flaherty Buckee, Marc Lipsitch
Publication date
2020/7
Journal
Emerging infectious diseases
Volume
26
Issue
7
Pages
1465
Publisher
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Description
Cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection exported from mainland China could lead to self-sustained outbreaks in other countries. By February 2020, several countries were reporting imported SARS-CoV-2 cases. To contain the virus, early detection of imported SARS-CoV-2 cases is critical. We used air travel volume estimates from Wuhan, China, to international destinations and a generalized linear regression model to identify locations that could have undetected imported cases. Our model can be adjusted to account for exportation of cases from other locations as the virus spreads and more information on importations and transmission becomes available. Early detection and appropriate control measures can reduce the risk for transmission in all locations.
Total citations
202020212022202320242121575