Authors
Nicholas G Reich, Justin Lessler, Sebastian Funk, Cecile Viboud, Alessandro Vespignani, Ryan J Tibshirani, Katriona Shea, Melanie Schienle, Michael C Runge, Roni Rosenfeld, Evan L Ray, Rene Niehus, Helen C Johnson, Michael A Johansson, Harry Hochheiser, Lauren Gardner, Johannes Bracher, Rebecca K Borchering, Matthew Biggerstaff
Publication date
2022/6
Source
American Journal of Public Health
Volume
112
Issue
6
Pages
839-842
Publisher
American Public Health Association
Description
The COVID-19 pandemic has made it clear that epidemic models play an important role in how governments and the public respond to infectious disease crises. Early in the pandemic, models were used to estimate the true number of infections. Later, they estimated key parameters, generated short-term forecasts of outbreak trends, and quantified possible effects of interventions on the unfolding epidemic. 1, 2 In contrast to the coordinating role played by major national or international agencies in weatherrelated emergencies, pandemic modeling efforts were initially scattered across many research institutions. Differences in modeling approaches led to contrasting results, contributing to confusion in public perception of the pandemic. Efforts to coordinate modeling efforts in so-called “hubs” have provided governments, healthcare agencies, and the public with assessments and forecasts that reflect the consensus in …
Total citations
20222023202431918
Scholar articles
NG Reich, J Lessler, S Funk, C Viboud, A Vespignani… - American Journal of Public Health, 2022