Authors
Chris Huntingford, Dann Mitchell, Kai Kornhuber, Dim Coumou, Scott Osprey, Myles Allen
Publication date
2019/8
Journal
Atmospheric Science Letters
Volume
20
Issue
8
Pages
e929
Publisher
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Description
Summer weather extremes are often associated with high‐amplitude atmospheric planetary waves (Petoukhov et al., 2013). Such conditions lead to stationary weather patterns, triggering heat waves and sometimes prolonged intense rainfall. These wave events, referred to as periods of Quasi‐Resonant Amplification (QRA), are relatively rare though and hence provide only a few data points in the meteorological record to analyse. Here, we use atmospheric models coupled to boundary conditions that have evolved slowly (i.e., climate), to supplement measurements. Specifically we assess altered probabilities of resonant episodes by employing a unique massive ensemble of atmosphere‐only climate simulations to populate statistical distributions of event occurrence. We focus on amplified waves during the two most extreme European heat waves on record, in years 2003 and 2015 (Russo et al., 2015). These …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
C Huntingford, D Mitchell, K Kornhuber, D Coumou… - Atmospheric Science Letters, 2019