Authors
J Arjan Wardekker, Jeroen P van der Sluijs, Peter HM Janssen, Penny Kloprogge, Arthur C Petersen
Publication date
2008/11/1
Journal
Environmental science & policy
Volume
11
Issue
7
Pages
627-641
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
Scientific assessments of environmental problems, and policy responses to those problems, involve uncertainties of many sorts. Meanwhile, potential impacts of wrong decisions can be far-reaching. This article explores views on uncertainty and uncertainty communication in the Dutch science-policy interface and studies several issues concerning presentation of uncertainty information. Respondents considered uncertainty communication to be important, but it should be concise and policy relevant. Several factors influence policy relevance, including the place of an issue in the policy cycle, and its novelty, topicality and controversiality. Respondents held particular interest in explicit communication on the implications of uncertainty. Related to this, they appreciated information on different sources and types of uncertainty and qualitative aspects of uncertainty (e.g. pedigree charts). The article also studies probability …
Total citations
20082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024417111519241618211919201312973