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In a sample of 1358 women and 858 men, ≥60 yr of age who have been followed‐up for up to 15 yr, it was estimated that the mortality‐adjusted residual lifetime risk of fracture was 44% for women and 25% for men. Among those with BMD T‐scores ≤ −2.5, the risks increased to 65% in women and 42% in men.

Introduction: Risk assessment of osteoporotic fracture is shifting from relative risk to an absolute risk approach. Whereas BMD is a primary predictor of fracture risk, there has been no estimate of mortality‐adjusted lifetime risk of fracture by BMD level. The aim of the study was to estimate the residual lifetime risk of fracture (RLRF) in elderly men and women.

Materials and Methods: Data from 1358 women and 858 men ≥60 yr of age as of 1989 of white background from the Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study were analyzed. The participants have been followed for …