Authors
Shevanthi Nayagam, Mark Thursz, Elisa Sicuri, Lesong Conteh, Stefan Wiktor, Daniel Low-Beer, Timothy B Hallett
Publication date
2016/12/1
Journal
The Lancet Infectious Diseases
Volume
16
Issue
12
Pages
1399-1408
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
Background Despite the existence of effective prevention and treatment interventions, hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection continues to cause nearly 1 million deaths each year. WHO aspires to global control and elimination of HBV infection. We aimed to evaluate the potential impact of public health interventions against HBV, propose targets for reducing incidence and mortality, and identify the key developments required to achieve them. Methods We developed a simulation model of the global HBV epidemic, incorporating data on the natural history of HBV, prevalence, mortality, vaccine coverage, treatment dynamics, and demographics. We estimate the impact of current interventions and scaling up of existing interventions for prevention of infection and introducing wide-scale population screening and treatment interventions on the worldwide epidemic. Findings Vaccination of infants and neonates is already driving a …
Total citations
20162017201820192020202120222023202453450485772604130
Scholar articles
S Nayagam, M Thursz, E Sicuri, L Conteh, S Wiktor… - The Lancet Infectious Diseases, 2016