Authors
Antonio Picornell, Sandro Hurtado, María Luisa Antequera-Gómez, Cristóbal Barba-González, Rocío Ruiz-Mata, Enrique de Gálvez-Montañez, Marta Recio, María del Mar Trigo, José F Aldana-Montes, Ismael Navas-Delgado
Publication date
2024/1/1
Journal
Computers in Biology and Medicine
Volume
168
Pages
107706
Publisher
Pergamon
Description
Airborne pollen can trigger allergic rhinitis and other respiratory diseases in the synthesised population, which makes it one of the most relevant biological contaminants. Therefore, implementing accurate forecast systems is a priority for public health. The current forecast models are generally useful, but they falter when long time series of data are managed. The emergence of new computational techniques such as the LSTM algorithms could constitute a significant improvement for the pollen risk assessment. In this study, several LSTM variants were applied to forecast monthly pollen integrals in Málaga (southern Spain) using meteorological variables as predictors. Olea and Urticaceae pollen types were modelled as proxies of different annual pollen curves, using data from the period 1992–2022. The aims of this study were to determine the LSTM variants with the highest accuracy when forecasting monthly pollen …
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