Authors
James S Doran, Andy Fodor, Danling Jiang
Publication date
2013/12/1
Journal
Review of Asset Pricing Studies
Volume
3
Issue
2
Pages
258-290
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Description
Prior literature shows that implied volatility spreads between call and put options are positively related to future underlying stock returns. In this paper, however, we demonstrate that the volatility spreads are negatively related to future out-of-the-money call option returns. Using unique data on option volumes, we reconcile the two pieces of evidence by showing that option demand by sophisticated, firm investors drives the positive stock return predictability based on volatility spreads, while demand by less sophisticated, customer investors drives the negative call option return predictability. Overall, our evidence suggests that volatility spreads contain information about both firm fundamentals and option mispricing. (JEL G12, G13, G14, L83)
Total citations
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Scholar articles
JS Doran, A Fodor, D Jiang - Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 2013