Authors
James S Doran, Danling Jiang, David R Peterson
Publication date
2012/7/1
Journal
Review of Finance
Volume
16
Issue
3
Pages
685-731
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Description
This paper shows that a New Year's gambling preference of individual investors impacts prices and returns of assets with lottery features. January call options, especially the out-of-the-money calls, have higher retail demand and are the most expensive and actively traded. Lottery-type stocks outperform their counterparts in January but tend to underperform in other months. Retail sentiment is more bullish in lottery-type stocks in January than in other months. Furthermore, lottery-type Chinese stocks outperform in the Chinese New Year's Month but not in January. This New Year effect provides new insights into the broad phenomena related to the January effect.
Total citations
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