Authors
Marco Gallegati, Mauro Gallegati
Publication date
2007/9/17
Journal
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics
Volume
11
Issue
3
Publisher
De Gruyter
Description
The large decline in output volatility experienced by most industrialized countries in the last decades has been thoroughly analyzed using standard time and frequency domain methods. In this paper we investigate the issue of moderation of volatility in G-7 economies and its sources, applying a multi-scaling approach to the industrial production indices of G-7 countries between 1961:1-2006:10. Using the MODWT estimates of wavelet variance we provide a scale-based analysis of variance that allows us to characterize the decline in volatility and to detect the importance of the various explanations of the moderation. The main scale-by-scale results stemming from multi scale analysis of variance are: i) a reduction in volatility which, although displayed by all the G-7 countries, is not uniform across time scales (as the decline is larger at short-term scales than at business cycle scales for France and Italy, and quite …
Total citations
2007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320241265161214711737516651
Scholar articles
M Gallegati, M Gallegati - Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 2007