Authors
Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Alberto Viglione, Gemma Carr, Linda Kuil, Kun Yan, Luigia Brandimarte, Günter Blöschl
Publication date
2015/6
Journal
Water Resources Research
Volume
51
Issue
6
Pages
4770-4781
Description
In flood risk assessment, there remains a lack of analytical frameworks capturing the dynamics emerging from two‐way feedbacks between physical and social processes, such as adaptation and levee effect. The former, “adaptation effect”, relates to the observation that the occurrence of more frequent flooding is often associated with decreasing vulnerability. The latter, “levee effect”, relates to the observation that the non‐occurrence of frequent flooding (possibly caused by flood protection structures, e.g. levees) is often associated to increasing vulnerability. As current analytical frameworks do not capture these dynamics, projections of future flood risk are not realistic. In this paper, we develop a new approach whereby the mutual interactions and continuous feedbacks between floods and societies are explicitly accounted for. Moreover, we show an application of this approach by using a socio‐hydrological model …
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