Authors
Fabio Verona, Manuel MF Martins, Inês Drumond
Publication date
2013/4/11
Journal
Bank of Finland Research Discussion Paper
Issue
4
Description
Motivated by the US events of the 2000s, we address whether a too low for too long interest rate policy may generate a boom-bust cycle. We simulate anticipated and unanticipated monetary policies in state-of-the-art DSGE models and in a model with bond financing via a shadow banking system, in which the bond spread is calibrated for normal and optimistic times. Our results suggest that the US boom-bust was caused by the combination of (i) interest rates that were too low for too long,(ii) excessive optimism and (iii) a failure of agents to anticipate the extent of the abnormally favourable conditions.
Total citations
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Scholar articles
F Verona, MMF Martins, I Drumond - Bank of Finland Research Discussion Paper, 2013