Authors
Luís Aguiar-Conraria, Manuel MF Martins, Maria Joana Soares
Publication date
2012/12/1
Journal
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume
36
Issue
12
Pages
1950-1970
Publisher
North-Holland
Description
We assess the relation between the yield curve and the macroeconomy in the U.S. between 1961 and 2011. We add to the standard parametric macro-finance models, as we uncover evidence simultaneously on the time and frequency domains. We model the shape of the yield curve by latent factors corresponding to its level, slope and curvature. The macroeconomic variables measure real activity, inflation and monetary policy. The tools of wavelet analysis, the set of variables and the length of the sample allow for a thorough appraisal of the time-variation in the direction, intensity, synchronization and periodicity of the yield curve–macroeconomy relation.
Total citations
20122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320241613141316916181214910
Scholar articles
L Aguiar-Conraria, MMF Martins, MJ Soares - Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 2012