Authors
Andrew D Richardson, Ryan S Anderson, M Altaf Arain, Alan G Barr, Gil Bohrer, Guangsheng Chen, Jing M Chen, Philippe Ciais, Kenneth J Davis, Ankur R Desai, Michael C Dietze, Danilo Dragoni, Steven R Garrity, Christopher M Gough, Robert Grant, David Y Hollinger, Hank A Margolis, Harry McCaughey, Mirco Migliavacca, Russell K Monson, J William Munger, Benjamin Poulter, Brett M Raczka, Daniel M Ricciuto, Alok K Sahoo, Kevin Schaefer, Hanqin Tian, Rodrigo Vargas, Hans Verbeeck, Jingfeng Xiao, Yongkang Xue
Publication date
2012/2
Journal
Global Change Biology
Volume
18
Issue
2
Pages
566-584
Description
Phenology, by controlling the seasonal activity of vegetation on the land surface, plays a fundamental role in regulating photosynthesis and other ecosystem processes, as well as competitive interactions and feedbacks to the climate system. We conducted an analysis to evaluate the representation of phenology, and the associated seasonality of ecosystem‐scale CO2 exchange, in 14 models participating in the North American Carbon Program Site Synthesis. Model predictions were evaluated using long‐term measurements (emphasizing the period 2000–2006) from 10 forested sites within the AmeriFlux and Fluxnet‐Canada networks. In deciduous forests, almost all models consistently predicted that the growing season started earlier, and ended later, than was actually observed; biases of 2 weeks or more were typical. For these sites, most models were also unable to explain more than a small fraction of the …
Total citations
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