Authors
Matthew Kay, Tara Kola, Jessica R Hullman, Sean A Munson
Publication date
2016/5/7
Book
Proceedings of the 2016 CHI Conference on Human factors in Computing Systems
Pages
5092-5103
Description
Users often rely on realtime predictions in everyday contexts like riding the bus, but may not grasp that such predictions are subject to uncertainty. Existing uncertainty visualizations may not align with user needs or how they naturally reason about probability. We present a novel mobile interface design and visualization of uncertainty for transit predictions on mobile phones based on discrete outcomes. To develop it, we identified domain specific design requirements for visualizing uncertainty in transit prediction through: 1) a literature review, 2) a large survey of users of a popular realtime transit application, and 3) an iterative design process. We present several candidate visualizations of uncertainty for realtime transit predictions in a mobile context, and we propose a novel discrete representation of continuous outcomes designed for small screens, quantile dotplots. In a controlled experiment we find that quantile …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
M Kay, T Kola, JR Hullman, SA Munson - Proceedings of the 2016 chi conference on human …, 2016
M Kay, T Kola, JR Hullman, SA Munson - Proc. 2016 ACM Conf. on Human Factors in Comput …