Authors
Federico Giri, Luca Riccetti, Alberto Russo, Mauro Gallegati
Publication date
2019/1/1
Journal
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Volume
157
Pages
42-58
Publisher
North-Holland
Description
An accommodating monetary policy followed by a sudden increase of the short term interest rate often leads to a bubble burst and to an economic slowdown. Through the implementation of an Agent Based Model with a financial accelerator mechanism we are able to study the relationship between monetary policy and large-scale crisis events. A two-step computational approach is proposed which performs (i) a pattern search of “double dip” episodes and (ii) counter-factual simulations implementing unconventional monetary policy. The main results can be summarized as follow: a) sudden and sharp increases of the policy rate can generate recessions; b) after a crisis, returning too soon and too quickly to a normal monetary policy regime can generate a “double dip” recession, while c) keeping the short term interest rate anchored to the zero lower bound in the short run can successfully avoid a further slowdown.
Total citations
201920202021202220232024546675
Scholar articles
F Giri, L Riccetti, A Russo, M Gallegati - Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2019