Authors
Noah D Charney, Flurin Babst, Benjamin Poulter, Sydne Record, Valerie M Trouet, David Frank, Brian J Enquist, Margaret EK Evans
Publication date
2016/9
Journal
Ecology letters
Volume
19
Issue
9
Pages
1119-1128
Description
Predicting long‐term trends in forest growth requires accurate characterisation of how the relationship between forest productivity and climatic stress varies across climatic regimes. Using a network of over two million tree‐ring observations spanning North America and a space‐for‐time substitution methodology, we forecast climate impacts on future forest growth. We explored differing scenarios of increased water‐use efficiency (WUE) due to CO2‐fertilisation, which we simulated as increased effective precipitation. In our forecasts: (1) climate change negatively impacted forest growth rates in the interior west and positively impacted forest growth along the western, southeastern and northeastern coasts; (2) shifting climate sensitivities offset positive effects of warming on high‐latitude forests, leaving no evidence for continued ‘boreal greening’; and (3) it took a 72% WUE enhancement to compensate for continentally …
Total citations
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