Authors
David S Bates
Publication date
2000/1/1
Journal
Journal of Econometrics
Volume
94
Issue
1-2
Pages
181-238
Publisher
North-Holland
Description
Post-crash distributions inferred from S&P 500 future option prices have been strongly negatively skewed. This article examines two alternate explanations: stochastic volatility and jumps. The two option pricing models are nested, and are fitted to S&P 500 futures options data over 1988–1993. The stochastic volatility model requires extreme parameters (e.g., high volatility of volatility) that are implausible given the time series properties of option prices. The stochastic volatility/jump-diffusion model fits option prices better, and generates more plausible volatility process parameters. However, its implicit distributions are inconsistent with the absence of large stock index moves over 1988–93.
Total citations
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Scholar articles
DS Bates - Journées Internationales de Finance, 1995
DS Bates - reproduced, Wharton School, University of …, 1995