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Congenital Anomalies of the Kidney and Urinary Tract (CAKUT) are a major cause of morbidity in children. We measured the risk of progression to end-stage renal disease in 312 patients with CAKUT preselected for the presence of anomalies in kidney number or size. A model of dialysis-free survival from birth was established as a function of the renal CAKUT categories of solitary kidney; unilateral and bilateral hypodysplasia; renal hypodysplasia associated with posterior urethral valves; and multicystic and horseshoe kidney. Cox regression analysis took into account the concomitant presence of vesicoureteral reflux, year of diagnosis, and time-varying values of serum creatinine, proteinuria, and hypertension. By 30 years of age, 58 patients had started dialysis, giving a yearly incidence of 0.023 over a combined 2474 patient risk years. The risk for dialysis was significantly higher for patients with a solitary kidney …