Authors
Michael C Wimberly, Thomas A Spies, Colin J Long, Cathy Whitlock
Publication date
2000/2
Journal
Conservation Biology
Volume
14
Issue
1
Pages
167-180
Publisher
Blackwell Science Inc
Description
We developed the landscape age‐class demographics simulator ( LADS) to model historical variability in the amount of old‐growth and late‐successional forest in the Oregon Coast Range over the past 3,000 years. The model simulated temporal and spatial patterns of forest fires along with the resulting fluctuations in the distribution of forest age classes across the landscape. Parameters describing historical fire regimes were derived from data from a number of existing dendroecological and paleoecological studies. Our results indicated that the historical age‐class distribution was highly variable and that variability increased with decreasing landscape size. Simulated old‐growth percentages were generally between 25% and 75% at the province scale (2,250,000 ha) and never fell below 5%. In comparison, old‐growth percentages varied from 0 to 100% at the late‐successional reserve scale (40,000 ha …
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