Authors
Serena Ng
Publication date
2008/1/1
Journal
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics
Volume
26
Issue
1
Pages
113-127
Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Description
This article proposes a simple estimator that is consistent for the fraction of a panel that has an autoregressive unit root. Given such an estimate,, we can test the null hypothesis that θ= θ 0 for any value of θ 0 ϵ (0, 1]. The test is asymptotically standard normal and is valid whether or not the panel is cross-sectionally correlated. The main insight is that in a panel in which some units are stationary and some have unit roots, the cross-sectional variance of the mixed panel is dominated by a linear trend that grows at rate θ, where θ is precisely the fraction of the panel with a unit root. Averaging the change in cross-sectional variance over time then gives a consistent estimate of θ as N, T→∞. Simulations show that the estimator has good finite-sample properties when T≥ 100, even with N as small as 30.
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