Authors
Nuno Antonio, Ana de Almeida, Luis Nunes
Publication date
2017/12/18
Conference
2017 16th IEEE International Conference on Machine Learning and Applications (ICMLA)
Pages
1049-1054
Publisher
IEEE
Description
Booking cancellations have significant impact on demand-management decisions in the hospitality industry. To mitigate the effect of cancellations, hotels implement rigid cancellation policies and overbooking tactics, which in turn can have a negative impact on revenue and on the hotel reputation. To reduce this impact, a machine learning based system prototype was developed. It makes use of the hotel's Property Management Systems data and trains a classification model every day to predict which bookings are “likely to cancel” and with that calculate net demand. This prototype, deployed in a production environment in two hotels, by enforcing A/B testing, also enables the measurement of the impact of actions taken to act upon bookings predicted as “likely to cancel”. Results indicate good prototype performance and provide important indications for research progress whilst evidencing that bookings contacted by …
Total citations
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Scholar articles
N Antonio, A de Almeida, L Nunes - 2017 16th IEEE International Conference on Machine …, 2017