Authors
Anastasios Michailidis, Konstadinos Mattas
Publication date
2007/10
Journal
Water Resources Management
Volume
21
Pages
1717-1733
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Description
This paper demonstrates the utility of the real options approach to irrigation dam investment analysis. The main objective is to show how to calculate the option values of selected options that may be available to managers of irrigation dam investments. The paper provides an empirical application, which compares an irrigation dam investment using the static Net Present Value (NPV) model and the real options approach and shows how it can be adopted to model uncertainty and managerial flexibility in dam management. Four management options are used for the real options approach: an option to delay the investment, an option to enlarge the dam, an option to abandon the dam, and multiple options that evaluated all three options together. All options were evaluated using the binomial option pricing model, where water values are assumed to follow a multiplicative binomial process. The analysis show …
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