Authors
David Fairbairn, Patricia De Rosnay, Peter Weston
Publication date
2024/1/27
Journal
Remote Sensing
Volume
16
Issue
3
Pages
493
Publisher
MDPI
Description
Satellite-derived soil moisture (SM) observations are widely assimilated in global land data assimilation systems. These systems typically assume zero-mean errors in the land surface model and observations. In practice, systematic differences (biases) exist between the observed and modelled SM. Commonly, the observed SM biases are removed by rescaling techniques or via a machine learning approach. However, these methods do not account for non-stationary biases, which can result from issues with the satellite retrieval algorithms or changes in the land surface model. Therefore, we test a novel application of adaptive SM bias correction (BC) in the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) land data assimilation system. A two-stage filter is formulated to dynamically correct biases from satellite-derived active ASCAT C-band and passive L-band SMOS surface SM observations. This complements the operational seasonal rescaling of the ASCAT observations and the SMOS neural network retrieval while allowing the assimilation to correct subseasonal-scale errors. Experiments are performed on the ECMWF stand-alone surface analysis, which is a simplified version of the integrated forecasting system. Over a 3 year test period, the adaptive BC reduces the seasonal-scale (observation−forecast) departures by up to 20% (30%) for the ASCAT (SMOS). The adaptive BC leads to (1) slight improvements in the SM analysis performance and (2) moderate but statistically significant reductions in the 1–5 day relative humidity forecast errors in the boundary layer of the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes. Future work will test …
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