Authors
Sheng Cao, Xianjie He, Charles CY Wang, Huifang Yin
Publication date
2022/11/22
Journal
Harvard Business School Accounting & Management Unit Working Paper
Issue
18-095
Description
We examine how government ownership in brokerage firms influences analyst research quality in the Chinese context. When the government has strong incentives to prop up market prices, analysts from brokerages with significant government shareholdings (" government-brokerage analysts") issued relatively more optimistic earnings forecasts and revisions and more favorable stock recommendations; they were also slower to revise. Although these forecasts are also relatively less accurate, they influenced investors' beliefs. In other times and contexts, government-brokerage analysts produce relatively more neutral and timely research or relatively more accurate and less optimistic forecasts. Government-brokerage analysts thus balance maintaining market credibility against complying with government incentives. In doing so, government-brokerage analysts serve both market advisory and stabilization functions.
Total citations
202220232024123