Authors
Larry G Mastin, M Guffanti, R Servranckx, P Webley, S Barsotti, K Dean, A Durant, John W Ewert, A Neri, William I Rose, D Schneider, Lee Siebert, B Stunder, G Swanson, A Tupper, A Volentik, Christopher F Waythomas
Publication date
2009/9/30
Journal
Journal of volcanology and Geothermal Research
Volume
186
Issue
1-2
Pages
10-21
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
During volcanic eruptions, volcanic ash transport and dispersion models (VATDs) are used to forecast the location and movement of ash clouds over hours to days in order to define hazards to aircraft and to communities downwind. Those models use input parameters, called “eruption source parameters”, such as plume height H, mass eruption rate Ṁ, duration D, and the mass fraction m63 of erupted debris finer than about 4ϕ or 63 μm, which can remain in the cloud for many hours or days. Observational constraints on the value of such parameters are frequently unavailable in the first minutes or hours after an eruption is detected. Moreover, observed plume height may change during an eruption, requiring rapid assignment of new parameters. This paper reports on a group effort to improve the accuracy of source parameters used by VATDs in the early hours of an eruption. We do so by first compiling a list of …
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