Authors
Gavin P Hayes, Matthew W Herman, William D Barnhart, Kevin P Furlong, Sebástian Riquelme, Harley M Benz, Eric Bergman, Sergio Barrientos, Paul S Earle, Sergey Samsonov
Publication date
2014/8/21
Journal
Nature
Volume
512
Issue
7514
Pages
295-298
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group UK
Description
The seismic gap theory identifies regions of elevated hazard based on a lack of recent seismicity in comparison with other portions of a fault. It has successfully explained past earthquakes (see, for example, ref. ) and is useful for qualitatively describing where large earthquakes might occur. A large earthquake had been expected in the subduction zone adjacent to northern Chile,,,, which had not ruptured in a megathrust earthquake since a M ∼8.8 event in 1877. On 1 April 2014 a M 8.2 earthquake occurred within this seismic gap. Here we present an assessment of the seismotectonics of the March–April 2014 Iquique sequence, including analyses of earthquake relocations, moment tensors, finite fault models, moment deficit calculations and cumulative Coulomb stress transfer. This ensemble of information allows us to place the sequence within the context of regional seismicity and to identify areas of remaining …
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