Authors
Michael Matschiner, Zuzana Musilová, Julia MI Barth, Zuzana Starostová, Walter Salzburger, Mike Steel, Remco Bouckaert
Publication date
2017/1/1
Journal
Systematic biology
Volume
66
Issue
1
Pages
3-22
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Description
Divergence-time estimation based on molecular phylogenies and the fossil record has provided insights into fundamental questions of evolutionary biology. In Bayesian node dating, phylogenies are commonly time calibrated through the specification of calibration densities on nodes representing clades with known fossil occurrences. Unfortunately, the optimal shape of these calibration densities is usually unknown and they are therefore often chosen arbitrarily, which directly impacts the reliability of the resulting age estimates. As possible solutions to this problem, two nonexclusive alternative approaches have recently been developed, the “fossilized birth–death” (FBD) model and “total-evidence dating.” While these approaches have been shown to perform well under certain conditions, they require including all (or a random subset) of the fossils of each clade in the analysis, rather than just relying on the …
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