Authors
Monowar Hossain, Saad Mekhilef, Malihe Danesh, Lanre Olatomiwa, Shahaboddin Shamshirband
Publication date
2017/11/20
Journal
journal of Cleaner Production
Volume
167
Pages
395-405
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
The power output (PO) of a photovoltaic (PV) system is highly variable because of its dependence on solar irradiance and other meteorological factors. Hence, accurate PO forecasting of a grid-connected PV system is essential for grid stability, optimal unit commitment, economic dispatch, market participation and regulations. In this paper, a day ahead and 1 h ahead mean PV output power forecasting model has been developed based on extreme learning machine (ELM) approach. For this purpose, the proposed forecasting model is trained and tested using PO of PV system and other meteorological parameters recorded in three grid-connected PV system installed on a roof-top of PEARL laboratory in University of Malaya, Malaysia. The results obtained from the proposed model are compared with other popular models such as support vector regression (SVR) and artificial neural network (ANN). The performance …
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