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Carriers of multidrug-resistant bacteria are at risk of infections with these bacteria; the precise size of this risk is unclear. We aimed to quantify the effect of gut colonisation on subsequent risk of infection with multidrug-resistant bacteria.

We performed a systematic review and meta-regression analysis. We searched PubMed, Embase, Web of Science Core Collection, and Google Scholar for follow-up studies published from Jan 1, 1995, to March 17, 2022, that measured the incidence of infections with multidrug-resistant Gram-negative bacteria (MDR-GNB) and from Jan 1, 1995, to March 15, 2022, that measured the incidence of infections with vancomycin-resistant enterococci (VRE). We included original cohort studies and case-control studies that used incidence-density sampling, included 50 or more patients with enteric colonisation or positive urinary samples as a surrogate marker of …