Authors
Hong Sun, Pouya Saeedi, Suvi Karuranga, Moritz Pinkepank, Katherine Ogurtsova, Bruce B Duncan, Caroline Stein, Abdul Basit, Juliana CN Chan, Jean Claude Mbanya, Meda E Pavkov, Ambady Ramachandaran, Sarah H Wild, Steven James, William H Herman, Ping Zhang, Christian Bommer, Shihchen Kuo, Edward J Boyko, Dianna J Magliano
Publication date
2022/1/1
Journal
Diabetes research and clinical practice
Volume
183
Pages
109119
Publisher
Elsevier
Description
Aims
To provide global, regional, and country-level estimates of diabetes prevalence and health expenditures for 2021 and projections for 2045.
Methods
A total of 219 data sources meeting pre-established quality criteria reporting research conducted between 2005 and 2020 and representing 215 countries and territories were identified. For countries without data meeting quality criteria, estimates were extrapolated from countries with similar economies, ethnicity, geography and language. Logistic regression was used to generate smoothed age-specific diabetes prevalence estimates. Diabetes-related health expenditures were estimated using an attributable fraction method. The 2021 diabetes prevalence estimates were applied to population estimates for 2045 to project future prevalence.
Results
The global diabetes prevalence in 20–79 year olds in 2021 was estimated to be 10.5% (536.6 million people), rising to …
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H Sun, P Saeedi, S Karuranga, M Pinkepank… - Diabetes research and clinical practice, 2022