Authors
Corey Lesk, Pedram Rowhani, Navin Ramankutty
Publication date
2016/1/7
Journal
Nature
Volume
529
Issue
7584
Pages
84-87
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group
Description
In recent years, several extreme weather disasters have partially or completely damaged regional crop production,,,,. While detailed regional accounts of the effects of extreme weather disasters exist, the global scale effects of droughts, floods and extreme temperature on crop production are yet to be quantified. Here we estimate for the first time, to our knowledge, national cereal production losses across the globe resulting from reported extreme weather disasters during 1964–2007. We show that droughts and extreme heat significantly reduced national cereal production by 9–10%, whereas our analysis could not identify an effect from floods and extreme cold in the national data. Analysing the underlying processes, we find that production losses due to droughts were associated with a reduction in both harvested area and yields, whereas extreme heat mainly decreased cereal yields. Furthermore, the results …
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