Authors
Hayley J Fowler, Geert Lenderink, Andreas F Prein, Seth Westra, Richard P Allan, Nikolina Ban, Renaud Barbero, Peter Berg, Stephen Blenkinsop, Hong X Do, Selma Guerreiro, Jan O Haerter, Elizabeth J Kendon, Elizabeth Lewis, Christoph Schaer, Ashish Sharma, Gabriele Villarini, Conrad Wasko, Xuebin Zhang
Publication date
2021/2
Source
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
Volume
2
Issue
2
Pages
107-122
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group UK
Description
Short-duration (1–3 h) rainfall extremes can cause serious damage to societies through rapidly developing (flash) flooding and are determined by complex, multifaceted processes that are altering as Earth’s climate warms. In this Review, we examine evidence from observational, theoretical and modelling studies for the intensification of these rainfall extremes, the drivers and the impact on flash flooding. Both short-duration and long-duration (>1 day) rainfall extremes are intensifying with warming at a rate consistent with the increase in atmospheric moisture (~7% K−1), while in some regions, increases in short-duration extreme rainfall intensities are stronger than expected from moisture increases alone. These stronger local increases are related to feedbacks in convective clouds, but their exact role is uncertain because of the very small scales involved. Future extreme rainfall intensification is also modulated by …
Total citations
202120222023202448112148132
Scholar articles
HJ Fowler, G Lenderink, AF Prein, S Westra, RP Allan… - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment, 2021