Authors
Bryan C Watson, Cassandra Telenko
Publication date
2018/11/9
Conference
ASME International Mechanical Engineering Congress and Exposition
Volume
52187
Pages
V013T05A066
Publisher
American Society of Mechanical Engineers
Description
Quantitative approaches to estimating user demand provide a powerful tool for engineering designers. We hypothesized that estimating binomial distribution parameters n (user population size) and p (user population product affinity) from historical user data can predict demand in new situations. This approach applied to a major Bike Sharing System (BSS) expansion. BSS Operators must make key decisions when adding additional docking stations. Binomial Parameter estimation approaches are briefly discussed, followed by evidence that BSSs supply an amiable case for parameter estimation. Parameter plots reveal a continuous surface over the BSS area. These surfaces allow prediction of overall ridership levels at new station locations distinctly and more accurately from approaches currently utilized. Utilizing spearman’s Rho as a comparison benchmark, our approach yields a stronger correlation between our …
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